With release of Deepseek V4 I wanted see how the model sizes are trending over time. The trend is that by this time next year, we probably will have Opus 4.5 level models on consumer grade laptops!

I was surprised to see that Deepseek V4 Flash is extremely smart and small enough to fit in setup that can be built with < $50,000. Expensive, but not a datacenter. So I wanted to see the trend over time of model sizes and their scores and created above plots using Opus/Sonnet 5. I am not an expert