Best AI News — Updated Every 3 Hours
Story Page
← All Stories
Home Community Story
Community

If your model finds edge against closing lines, does that edge transfer to earlier bets? [R]

Via r/MachineLearning
Wednesday, Jul 15, 2026 · 10:11AM
Summary

Building a sports prediction model ,I found consistent edge when backtesting against closing lines. At inference time tho, I predict 12-24 hours before the event where closing lines don't exist yet. I use the current line instead. My strongest feature is line movement (opening to closing implied pro

Continue reading the full article
Read at r/MachineLearning
www.reddit.com
Back to all stories