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Backcasting forecast errors: model collapsing to mean [P]

Via r/MachineLearning
Friday, May 8, 2026 · 9:05PM
Summary

Hey everyone, I am kind of desperate for help right now on my current project. I'll try and be as clear as possible. I'm working on a time series backcasting problem. The values I want to backcast are forecasts (not ML forecast, but think of weather forecasts) at different horizon (from 1 to 14). So

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